Hunter Tierney Apr 24, 2025 12 min read

Pixels, Pitches, and the End of the MLB’s Human Strike Zone?

Mar 2, 2025; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; An umpire looks at the Jumbotron during an automated ball-strike challenge aka ABS in the Los Angeles Dodgers game against the Chicago White Sox during spring training at Camelback Ranch-Glendale.
Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

Remember the first time a broadcast drew that little strike‑zone box on your screen and, for a split second, you wondered if the plate had actually shrunk? It felt like baseball borrowed a graphic from a video game and pasted it onto real life. 

Fast‑forward to this spring, and that rectangle isn’t just for television anymore — it’s the beating heart of Major League Baseball’s Automated Ball‑Strike system, the ABS. Over six weeks of Grapefruit and Cactus League action, hitters tapped helmets, pitchers barked at the heavens, and 617 calls were overturned by a computer eye that never blinks. That’s 52.2 percent of the 1,182 challenges MLB logged — enough to make even a confident umpire swallow hard.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. turned into the unofficial poster boy for the trial. Mid‑March, Marlins vs. Cardinals, full count, slider dives an inch off the black. Jazz shrugs, taps his helmet, flips his bat, and jogs to first before the scoreboard even flashes green. Ten seconds later, the computer confirms: ball four. The crowd giggles, the dugout hoots, and the inning rolls on. 

Just a day later, Max Scherzer — never shy, always opinionated — loses two challenges and unloads afterward: “We’re humans. Can we be judged by humans?” The duel between instinct and Intel chips is officially on.

The Imperfect Human Element

Apr 12, 2025; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; MLB umpire Ron Kulpa (46) calls a third strike during a game between the Cleveland Guardians and the Kansas City Royals at Progressive Field.
Credit: David Richard-Imagn Images

For over 150 years, the home plate ump’s been calling balls and strikes without a chance of them ever changing their mind. But as pitching got nastier and cameras got sharper, every mistake started showing up online in slow motion — and fans haven’t been shy about pointing them out. Statcast says umps missed about 17 out-of-zone calls for every 100 pitches last season. That’s not terrible considering how fast the game moves, but let’s be real: when one of those misses happens in a big moment, it sticks with everyone watching.

The real sticking point isn’t raw accuracy, it’s consistency. Ask any hitter and you’ll get a scouting report on each ump’s personal zone. Bill Miller? Wider than a Costco pizza. Gerry Davis? Shrinks the plate like he’s protecting his ERA. A Boston University study of six seasons’ worth of pitch‑tracking data found zone volume can swing ten percent from ump to ump — a gap wide enough to turn a .260 eight-hitter into a .290 headache.

And then there’s the show—the drama of it all. We’ve already seen classic manager meltdowns go the way of the flip phone thanks to replay reviews. But now, it’s not even a full-blown argument that gets people talking—it’s a 4K slow-mo replay of a pitch missing the corner by two inches. Like it or not, the so-called "human element" feeds the nightly chaos online as much as it defines the game on the field.

So MLB asked a blunt question: Can we preserve the human experience but give teams a safety net — the same way tennis uses Hawkeye challenges or the NFL uses booth reviews? Enter the ABS challenge system.

So What Happens When a Computer Calls Balls and Strikes?

The scoreboard at LECOM Park displays a screen from the ABS challenge system, indicating the path of the challenged pitch and the strike zone for the individual player. Major League Baseball is testing an Automated Ball-Stike (ABS) challenge system at select spring training parks. The system allows players to challenge a limited number of ball/stike calls during a game. Calls can be overturned if the pitch tracking technology shows an umpire got a call wrong.
Credit: Mike Lang / Sarasota Herald-Tribune / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Let’s peel back the curtain. MLB installed twelve Hawkeye cameras in thirteen spring facilities — one every thirty‑three feet around the park — scanning the ball 300 times per second. That 3D pitch path is married to a virtual strike zone: 17 inches wide, 51–71 percent of each hitter’s measured height. That’s the rulebook rectangle, no guesswork.

Unlike the fully automated robo‑ump used at some Triple‑A parks — where the computer yells ball or strike into the ump’s earpiece — this model keeps a human behind the dish. But each team gets two challenges. Win your challenge? You keep it. Lose? It’s gone.

Here’s the play‑by‑play:

  1. The Tap. Batter, pitcher, or catcher gets two seconds to tap their helmet or hat. 

  2. The Reveal. A giant graphic animates the pitch on the video board. The rectangle lights red for confirmed or green for overturned. TV broadcasts flash the same graphic for couch coaches.

  3. The Clock. Each challenge averaged 13.8 seconds, nearly three ticks faster than last year’s Triple‑A run. In other words, a full game with four challenges loses less time than one mound visit.

Over 288 exhibition games, we learned plenty:

  • 4.1 challenges per game — about one every two innings.

  • Catchers ruled, winning 56 percent of appeals. Batters split even. Pitchers lagged at 41 percent, perhaps because they’re biased.

  • The hot spot? Full counts — 6.9 percent of pitches drew a challenge.

  • Intriguingly, success on full‑count challenges dipped to 44 percent, suggesting hitters and pitchers both get antsy with the payoff pitch.

  • Average game time ticked up by just 37 seconds compared to non‑challenge contests.

Of course, there are complaints. The strike zone used by ABS is flat—just the front of the plate—so if a pitch barely scrapes the front edge and then drops below the knees, it’s still called a strike. Pitchers love it, but hitters? Not so much. It feels weird watching a pitch that ends up in the dirt get ruled a strike just because it caught the front. 

And since the top and bottom of the zone change based on a player's height and stance, there’s a lot of trust going into the system reading it right every time. Hawkeye’s supposed to recalibrate constantly, but some guys still aren't happy with the accuracy of the zones.

Inside Baseball: How the Game Feels About Robo Umps

Players

  • Max Scherzer (Blue Jays) went full philosopher: “We’re humans. Can we just be judged by humans?”

  • J.T. Realmuto (Phillies) lives on both sides: “I like it as a hitter. I don’t really like it as a catcher as much, just because I think it takes part of the game away, part of the catcher position. Framing is still going to matter, but it’s not going to be as big of a deal. So that part I don’t like. But as a hitter, I do like having the consistent strike zone.”

  • Jake Rogers (Tigers) thinks pitchers will have to completely adjust with a smaller computer zone: “It’s crazy, because on ABS, you look at the iPad and [the pitch is] half an inch below the zone. And then we get our report back with the old strike zone, and it’s a full ball in the zone. So it’s like, wow, it looks like a strike. It feels like a strike. And all of a sudden, you’re thinking: Do you challenge, or do you not challenge?.”

Managers

  • Alex Cora concocted a horror film: “My first thought was, like: Bases loaded, 3-2 count, ninth inning in the World Series, tie game... Strike three! No! Ball four! That’s where my mind went.”

  • Aaron Boone stuck up for umpires saying he doesn't know why we need to change: “I feel like the umpires are getting so good — and look, I know I’m the poster child, sometimes, for arguing — but literally, sometimes I’m arguing when they’re missing by, like, [a fraction of an inch]. But I feel like more and more, these umpires are really good.”

Fans

Early fan polls run by The Athletic show 62 percent approval for the challenge model versus 41 percent for full robo‑umps. Why? Drama. People liked the helmet tap and the reveal. It’s a bite‑size reality‑TV moment wrapped inside a baseball game.

But there’s skepticism too. Traditionalists fear the death of the strike‑three punch‑out. When a pitcher paints the corner and the umpire rings him up with a big, dramatic yell, the crowd reacts. That moment, that flair, is part of the show. 

Baseball’s Tech Revolution: More Than Just Robo Umps

Savannah Bananas owner Jesse Cole is joined by Bananas players as they entertain the crowd during Banana Fest on February 25, 2023 at Grayson Stadium.
Credit: Richard Burkhart / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Robot umps get all the attention, but truth is, tech is baked into just about every part of the game now. Statcast tracks how hard the ball comes off the bat, how fast guys run the bases, and even how much a pitch spins. Pitchers work out in high-tech labs that break down every little movement in their delivery. Hitters are swinging with bats loaded with sensors and watching replays in super slow-mo to figure out what their hands and hips are doing. It’s like every team has its own mini science lab now.

A few years ago, the idea of instant replays or pitch clocks would’ve sounded ridiculous to most fans. Now? Replay is just part of the game, and the pitch clock’s actually helped speed things up in a big way. Bigger bases helped cut down on guys getting stepped on, and limiting pick-offs made base stealing fun again. In just five seasons, the MLB has made more changes than they did in the previous five decades combined — and for once, it seems to be working. Attendance is finally heading in the right direction again.

Next up? Wearable hydration monitors, AI‑generated defensive alignments, and maybe — get ready — augmented‑reality glasses for fans that overlay exit velocity in real time. The Savannah Bananas tested AR last summer for 5,000 app users, projecting emoji trails behind fly balls. If minor‑league showmen can do it, MLB can too.

The Wider Sports World: When Data Wins, What Gets Lost?

Oct 22, 2024; Montreal, Quebec, CAN; Referee reviews a play with VAR in the second half between the CF Montreal and the Atlanta United at Stade Saputo.
Credit: Eric Bolte-Imagn Images

Hawk‑Eye’s fingerprints are already on half the sports planet:

  • Tennis: By 2026, the ATP plans zero on‑court line judges. That’s 100 percent faith in lasers. Players adapted fast, but some fans miss the drama.

  • Cricket: Ball-tracking tech played a huge role in the 2019 Cricket World Cup final. One close call got flipped, turning what looked like an out into six extra runs — and those runs helped decide the championship.

  • Soccer: Goal‑line tech ended phantom goals, but VAR offside calls — drawing computer lines across armpits — spark weekly arguments in pubs around the world.

  • Swimming: Remember the Speedo LZR Racer? It shattered 23 world records in 2008. FINA banned it the next year to keep the pool human.

Every sport’s trying to get more accurate without losing its soul. Yeah, we want the calls to be right — but not at the cost of the little things that make the game feel alive. You can fix the mistakes without turning the whole thing into a robot show.

What Happens Next? A Three‑Year Roadmap

Oct 15, 2024; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees third base Jazz Chisholm Jr. (13) watches a replay on the scoreboard with Cleveland Guardians second base Andrés Giménez (0) and shortstop Brayan Rocchio (4) during the sixth inning in game two of the ALCS for the 2024 MLB Playoffs at Yankee Stadium.
Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images

2025: Data‑Mining Mode

No ABS in regular games, but expect expanded Triple‑A trials — possibly five challenges instead of three, maybe even toggling between a 2‑D and 3‑D zone. MLB will crunch tens of thousands of pitches to find the sweet spot between fairness and flow.

2026: Soft Launch Window

If the added time per game stays low — like under 20 seconds — and if more than half the challenges keep getting calls overturned, there’s a good chance MLB gives this thing a green light in 2026. They’d probably roll it out during big matchups like Dodgers-Giants or Yankees-Red Sox early in the season, just to test the waters. And yeah, they’ll be watching closely to see how fans in those big markets react before deciding to go all in.

2027‑28: The Tipping Point

Here’s where things could go from here:

  1. Hybrid Forever: Human umps with challenges become the new normal, similar to tennis.

  2. Full Robo Umps: If challenges prove messy but the tech tightens, MLB could adopt real‑time robo calls, leaving the plate ump to handle foul tips and HBP.

  3. Tech Pullback: Unlikely, but if pace drags and offense plummets, MLB might hit pause.

The Game’s Changing — And That’s Not a Bad Thing

Pittsburgh Pirates pitcher Paul Skenes (30) throws a pitch in the first inning of the MLB National League Game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates at Great American Ball Park in downtown Cincinnati on Sunday, Sept. 22, 2024. The Pirates led 1-0 after four innings.
Credit: Sam Greene/The Enquirer / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Baseball’s definitely changing, and honestly, it kinda had to. But now it’s fair to wonder — where does it go from here? The robo ump is happening in some form, sure, but does it stay at just challenges? 

Maybe that’s the sweet spot. Let the pitcher paint, let the catcher frame, let the umpire punch out a hitter with flair, and give the helmet tap to police the blatant misses. Tech isn’t here to steal the game’s soul; it’s here to keep the story honest.

If there’s one group that really wants robot umps, it’s the gamblers. Sportsbooks move billions of dollars on baseball every year, and every blown strike call can mess with someone’s bet. Ask around and you’ll hear it — anytime a bad call swings a game, people start yelling that the fix is in. Even if it’s just frustration talking, that kind of doubt spreads fast. Nobody wants baseball turning into the next sport with a scandal hanging over it, and robot umps could help take some of that heat off by making sure the calls are right. 

Baseball has always been a conversation between past and present. Now it’s a three‑way chat that includes a supercomputer. It may still be a game of inches, but now we’re arguing over pixels, too. Welcome to the future.

Explore by Topic