Hunter Tierney Jan 9, 2025 19 min read

No Rest for the Wild: The Playoff Gauntlet Begins

Dec 29, 2024; Landover, Maryland, USA; Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels (5) runs with the ball as Atlanta Falcons tight end Kyle Pitts (8) attempts a tackle during the third quarter at Northwest Stadium.
Dec 29, 2024; Landover, Maryland, USA; Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels (5) runs with the ball as Atlanta Falcons tight end Kyle Pitts (8) attempts a tackle during the third quarter at Northwest Stadium. | Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

The NFL Playoffs are finally here, and with them come the stakes, surprises, and storylines that make this time of year so special. It’s the culmination of a grueling regular season, where teams fought through adversity, injuries, and nail-biting finishes just to get to this point. Now, every snap matters, every mistake is magnified, and — as cliché as it sounds — stars are born.

Let’s dive in, starting with a look at the teams who earned that all-important first-round bye and then breaking down each of the exciting matchups we get to watch this weekend.

Taking a Breather: The Teams at the Top

Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff (16), center, signals teammates before a play against Minnesota Vikings during the second half at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Jan. 5, 2025.
Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff (16), center, signals teammates before a play against Minnesota Vikings during the second half at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Jan. 5, 2025. | Credit: Junfu Han / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The top seeds in both conferences, the Detroit Lions and Kansas City Chiefs, are enjoying a well-earned week of rest as the Wild Card matchups get underway. Earning the No. 1 seed is a massive advantage, offering not just home-field advantage throughout the playoffs, but also a valuable chance to recharge and prepare; plus, it's one less game they need to win to get to the big dance.

Detroit Lions (NFC No. 1 Seed)

What a year it’s been for the Lions. This 15-2 squad is living proof of what consistency and talent can do when paired with a bit of grit. Jared Goff has been lights out, playing some of the best football of his career. Pair that with the electric play of Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jahmyr Gibbs, and a defense that has done what it needs to despite being decimated by injuries, and you’ve got a team that’s hard to bet against.

Their Week 18 win over the Vikings wasn’t just a statement — it was a punctuation mark. They dominated a team that was still fighting for the No. 1 seed themselves in the first-ever matchup of two teams with 14 wins. Now, with a week to prepare and scout potential Divisional Round opponents, the Lions have a real opportunity to back up the first division title in over three decades, with their first Super Bowl appearance in franchise history.

Kansas City Chiefs (AFC No. 1 Seed)

The Chiefs are back on top. Again. 

It’s almost a given at this point, but that doesn’t make their dominance any less impressive. Patrick Mahomes might not have put up his usual eye-popping stats this year, but that hasn’t stopped him from leading the Chiefs to the NFL’s best record. 

They’re now just one win away from what Nick Wright of First Things First calls “the Arrowhead Invitational” — a nickname for the AFC Championship game. If Kansas City makes it again, it’ll be the sixth time in seven years that Arrowhead Stadium hosts the game, which makes Wright’s point pretty tough to argue against.

Now, with extra time to prepare, Andy Reid and his crew are eyeing history with a three-peat within reach — a feat that would cement this team as one of, if not the, greatest dynasties ever.

Los Angeles Chargers at Houston Texans

Dec 28, 2024; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert (10)throws a pass against the New England Patriots in the second half at Gillette Stadium.
Dec 28, 2024; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert (10)throws a pass against the New England Patriots in the second half at Gillette Stadium. | Credit: David Butler II-Imagn Images

Saturday, 4:30 PM EST (CBS, Paramount+)

The Chargers and Texans enter this Wild Card game from very different paths, but both have plenty to prove. For the Chargers, their 11-6 season under Jim Harbaugh feels like the start of something bigger. The culture shift is already happening, reminiscent of Dan Campbell’s early days in Detroit, but here, the talent has led to more immediate results. On the other side, the Texans have had a shaky 10-7 season after last year’s breakout, and they’re hoping to find some postseason magic despite glaring issues on offense.

Meet the Matchup

Los Angeles Chargers

What a turnaround for the Chargers. Justin Herbert continues to solidify himself as one of the league’s elite quarterbacks, and he’s had plenty of help this year. Rookie wide receiver Ladd McConkey has emerged as a reliable target, while the defense has been nothing short of steady and balanced. 

This team doesn’t get too high or too low — they just execute. Their late-season surge speaks to a team that knows its identity and plays to its strengths.

Houston Texans

After winning the AFC South, you’d think the Texans would feel good about their season. 

But a point differential of zero tells the story of a team that struggled to find consistency. C.J. Stroud’s sophomore campaign hasn’t gone as planned, with a porous offensive line leaving him under constant pressure. 

It’s a shame, really, because their defense has been solid — certainly above league average. They’ve got a front seven that can make life miserable for opposing quarterbacks, but their offense will need to be creative if they want to keep pace with the Chargers.

The Game Plan

Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud (7) pleads his case after a false start during the first quarter against the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tenn., Sunday, Jan. 5, 2025.
Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud (7) pleads his case after a false start during the first quarter against the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tenn., Sunday, Jan. 5, 2025. | Credit: Denny Simmons / The Tennessean / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The Texans’ defense, especially their front seven, has the tools to disrupt Herbert and the Chargers’ offense. But L.A.’s offensive line has been strong, and Herbert’s ability to make plays under pressure could tip the scales. 

On the other side of the ball, Houston’s offensive line has been a liability all year, and facing one of the best defenses in the league doesn’t make things any easier. The Chargers’ pass rush will look to feast against a Houston O-line that has given up the second most sacks in the NFL — behind only Caleb Williams and the Bears.

For the Chargers, the formula is simple: stay balanced. Run the ball to open up the deep game for Herbert, and let the defense do what it does best — apply pressure and force mistakes. 

For the Texans, it all hinges on Stroud. If he can channel the star potential everyone sees in him and the receivers step up, they might have a shot. Defensively, it’s all about forcing Herbert into uncomfortable situations.

Prediction: While the Texans have the pieces to bounce back next year, this season feels like the Chargers’ moment. With their consistency and balance, they should move on to face, most likely, the Chiefs.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens

Jan 4, 2025; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) looks towards the crowds while entering the field before the game against the Cleveland Browns at M&T Bank Stadium.
Jan 4, 2025; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) looks towards the crowds while entering the field before the game against the Cleveland Browns at M&T Bank Stadium. | Credit: Tommy Gilligan-Imagn Images

Saturday, 8:00 PM EST (Prime Video)

When it comes to rivalries, few match the intensity of the Steelers and Ravens. These AFC North foes have clashed in countless memorable games, and now, they’re meeting with even higher stakes: win or go home. The teams split their regular-season series, which feels fitting for those historic AFC North rivalries.

Meet the Matchup

Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers’ 10-7 season has been a tale of ups and downs. They started strong but stumbled badly late in the year, dropping four straight games to close the season. That kind of skid is tough to shake, especially heading into the playoffs. 

Their quarterback room has been a topic of conversation all year, with Russell Wilson and Justin Fields both seeing action this year. Wilson brings experience, but his play has been inconsistent as of late, while Fields’ dual-threat ability gives the offense a spark when he’s on. Fields started the year winning games, going 4-2 before Tomlin made the switch. Since Wilson has taken the reigns, the team is 6-5.

One thing you can’t overlook, though, is their defense. Allowing just 20.4 points per game, it’s the backbone of this team. If they can force turnovers — something they've been great at all year— and keep things tight, they’ll give themselves a shot, even if the offense struggles.

Baltimore Ravens

On the flip side, the Ravens have been rolling. Their 12-5 record is backed by an offense that’s been electric, averaging 30.5 points per game. Lamar Jackson is in the hunt to win the MVP for the third time, and Derrick Henry has been a real force, leading the league in rushing touchdowns while bruising defenses weekly. 

Add in nine Pro Bowl selections, and you’ve got a team that’s as deep as it is talented.

Defensively, the Ravens started the season shaky but have found their stride at just the right time. They’ve clamped down on opposing offenses, holding teams to an average of just 17 points per game in their last five weeks. 

This balance makes them a nightmare matchup for anyone, especially a struggling Steelers team.

The Game Plan

Dec 21, 2024; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers linebacker T.J. Watt (90) rushes in the second quarter against Baltimore Ravens tackle Roger Rosengarten (70) at M&T Bank Stadium.
Dec 21, 2024; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers linebacker T.J. Watt (90) rushes in the second quarter against Baltimore Ravens tackle Roger Rosengarten (70) at M&T Bank Stadium. | Credit: Mitch Stringer-Imagn Images

The Steelers need to keep this game ugly to give themselves a chance. Lean on the defense, win the turnover battle, and hope the offense can string together enough points to steal one in Baltimore.

Getting Baltimore to turn the ball over isn’t as easy as it is with most teams. This season, they had the third-fewest giveaways in the entire NFL. 

For the Ravens, it’s all about staying aggressive. Let Lamar be Lamar, feed Derrick Henry, and put pressure on the Steelers early. If they can force Pittsburgh to play from behind, this game could be over by halftime.

Prediction: The Steelers are 9.5-point underdogs, and for good reason. Their offensive inconsistencies make this a tough hill to climb. Baltimore’s balance and star power should carry the day, but it’s the playoffs — anything can happen in these AFC North brawls. 

Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills

Bills Josh Allen leaps to the end zone in a nine-yard touchdown run after getting the ball passed back to him from Amari Cooper during second half action of their home game against the San Francisco 49ers in Orchard Park on Dec. 1, 2024.
Bills Josh Allen leaps to the end zone in a nine-yard touchdown run after getting the ball passed back to him from Amari Cooper during second half action of their home game against the San Francisco 49ers in Orchard Park on Dec. 1, 2024. | Credit: Tina MacIntyre-Yee / Democrat and Chronicle / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Sunday, 1:00 PM EST (CBS)

The Broncos and Bills find themselves in two very different situations heading into this Wild Card showdown. For Denver, this is a moment to celebrate — they’ve clawed their way back to the playoffs for the first time since 2015, and the Sean Payton-Bo Nix era is off to a promising start. For Buffalo, it’s business as usual, with the added pressure of MVP favorite Josh Allen needing to deliver on sky-high expectations.

Meet the Matchup

Denver Broncos

Let’s be honest: Nobody expected the Broncos to be here. After years of irrelevance, Sean Payton has breathed life into this franchise, and rookie quarterback Bo Nix has been nothing short of electric. 

His Week 18 performance, with 321 yards and four touchdowns, showed why Denver took a chance on him. This team has embraced the underdog role, and for a squad that went 10-7, just making the playoffs feels like a win.

That said, the Broncos have a tough task ahead. Their defense has been solid but not spectacular, and while their offense has moments of brilliance, it’s hard to see them keeping up with Buffalo unless Nix delivers another game for the ages.

Buffalo Bills

For the Bills, the stakes couldn’t be higher. A 13-4 record and one of the most potent offenses in the league (30.9 points per game) make them the heavy favorites. Josh Allen has been on another level this season, putting up MVP-caliber numbers and reminding everyone why he’s one of the most dangerous quarterbacks in the NFL.

But there’s a caveat: Buffalo’s defense has shown cracks in recent weeks. They’ve struggled to close out games and have been susceptible to big plays. Against a young and fearless Broncos team, they’ll need to tighten things up to avoid a Wild Card disaster.

The Game Plan

Jan 5, 2025; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix (10) scrambles with the ball in the second quarter against the Kansas City Chiefs at Empower Field at Mile High.
Jan 5, 2025; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix (10) scrambles with the ball in the second quarter against the Kansas City Chiefs at Empower Field at Mile High. | Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images

The Broncos need to play a perfect game to have a shot. That means protecting Nix against a relentless Bills pass rush and finding ways to exploit Buffalo’s defensive lapses. Nix’s mobility and ability to extend plays could be the X-factor, but it’s a tall order for a rookie quarterback on the road in one of the NFL’s toughest environments.

For the Bills, the formula is straightforward: get out to an early lead and put the pressure on Denver. Allen has been a one-man-show this season, and if the defense can generate a few key stops, this game could get out of hand quickly.

Prediction: The Broncos’ feel-good story is great, but it’s hard to imagine them pulling off the upset. The Bills have too much firepower and too much at stake to let this one slip. 

Buffalo wins big, and will likely be staring down a red-hot Ravens team that beat them 35-10 earlier in the year.

Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers

Nov 3, 2024; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley (26) jumps over Jacksonville Jaguars cornerback Jarrian Jones (22) during the second quarter at Lincoln Financial Field.
Nov 3, 2024; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley (26) jumps over Jacksonville Jaguars cornerback Jarrian Jones (22) during the second quarter at Lincoln Financial Field. | Credit: Eric Hartline-Imagn Images

Sunday, 4:30 PM EST (FOX)

The Eagles and Packers are set to clash in a Wild Card matchup featuring two quarterbacks from an incredible 2020 draft class. (The class also included Burrow, Herbert, and Tagovailoa.) 

Philadelphia is fresh off another dominant 12-5 campaign, but Jalen Hurts’ status is the big question hanging over their playoff hopes. For Green Bay, a solid 11-6 season under Matt LaFleur has kept them competitive despite injuries and challenges on offense. This one could come down to health and execution — two things both teams have battled for all year.

Meet the Matchup

Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles are back where they belong, contending for a Super Bowl. Their season has been a masterclass in consistency, and with the NFL’s top-ranked defense, they’ve been shutting teams down all year. 

Led by Vic Fangio’s brilliant defensive schemes, the Eagles have been relentless, giving opposing offenses nightmares every week.

Offensively, this team is as well-rounded as any with Jalen Hurts. The dual-threat quarterback has been the perfect complement to Saquon Barkley. Barkley’s historic season — becoming the ninth player to rush for 2,000 yards — has made the Eagles a nightmare to defend. Throw in A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, and you’ve got a team that can beat you any way they want.

Green Bay Packers

The Packers’ season has been a mix of highs and lows. Jordan Love, after getting a big extension, showed flashes of brilliance but battled through injuries. When healthy, he’s been solid, but Green Bay’s offense will be missing the deep-threat capabilities of Christian Watson, who’s out for this game. That puts even more pressure on running back Josh Jacobs to carry the load. 

Jacobs has been a bright spot, and if the Packers have any chance of pulling off an upset, he’ll need to have a huge day.

Defensively, Green Bay has been middle-of-the-pack, which isn’t ideal against a high-powered Eagles offense. But they’ve shown they can make adjustments, and if they can force mistakes, they might keep things interesting.

The Game Plan

Green Bay Packers running back Josh Jacobs (8) celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the Chicago Bears on Sunday, January 5, 2024 at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis.
Green Bay Packers running back Josh Jacobs (8) celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the Chicago Bears on Sunday, January 5, 2024 at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis. | Credit: Wm. Glasheen/USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

For the Eagles, it’s all about controlling the game. If Jalen Hurts is cleared to play, Philly’s offense should run like a well-oiled machine. Even if he’s not, their offensive line and Barkley will allow them to fully lean on the run game. Defensively, they’ll aim to stack the box and dare Green Bay to beat them through the air without Watson.

For the Packers, the path to victory is narrow but not impossible. They need to start fast and get ahead early. If they can establish the run with Jacobs and force the Eagles to play from behind, they might have a chance to pull off the upset. It’ll come down to Love making smart decisions and their defense creating opportunities.

Prediction: If Hurts plays, it’s hard to see Green Bay keeping up with Philadelphia’s firepower. Without him, things get more interesting, but the Eagles’ defense should still be enough to carry the day. Look for Philly to advance with a hard-fought win, as the Packers show they’re still a step or two away from contending.

Washington Commanders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jan 5, 2025; Arlington, Texas, USA; Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels (5) warms up before the game against the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium.
Jan 5, 2025; Arlington, Texas, USA; Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels (5) warms up before the game against the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium. | Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

Sunday, 8:00 PM EST (FOX)

There's a saying, "It's not about how you get there, but rather, what you do when you get there." For the Commanders and Buccaneers, how they got here couldn’t be more different. Washington is riding the wave of a breakthrough season, energized by a rookie quarterback who has quickly become a sensation. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has leaned heavily on its offense to mask defensive struggles, scraping out just enough wins to take the NFC South title.

Meet the Matchup

Washington Commanders

What a ride it’s been for the Commanders. At 12-5, they’ve exceeded every preseason expectation, and rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels is the main reason why. Daniels has been a revelation — his ability to make plays both through the air and on the ground has added a new dimension to Washington’s offense. 

Let’s not forget the veterans stepping up around him. Terry McLaurin has been his usual reliable self, and the addition of Zach Ertz gave Daniels a security blanket when he needed it most.

Defensively, the Commanders have been opportunistic. They might not shut teams down entirely, but they make the big plays when it counts. That ability to capitalize on mistakes has been key to their success and will need to be again if they want to advance.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

For Tampa Bay, this season has been about surviving by sheer offensive firepower. Baker Mayfield has been incredibly effective as the team’s leader, and his connection with Mike Evans has been electric. Evans, as always, remains a big-play threat every time he steps on the field.

But here’s the thing: the Buccaneers’ defense hasn’t been able to stop much of anything this year. 

Whether it’s the run or the pass, opponents have found ways to exploit Tampa Bay’s weaknesses. That’s left the Bucs in a position where they’ve had to outscore teams to win — fun for the fans, but not exactly the kind of formula that breeds postseason confidence.

The Game Plan

Jan 5, 2025; Tampa, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans (13) celebrates after a reception to put him over 1,000 yards for the season in the second half against the New Orleans Saints at Raymond James Stadium.
Jan 5, 2025; Tampa, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans (13) celebrates after a reception to put him over 1,000 yards for the season in the second half against the New Orleans Saints at Raymond James Stadium. | Credit: Jonathan Dyer-Imagn Images

For Washington, it starts and ends with Jayden Daniels. If he can stay poised and make smart decisions, the Commanders have the firepower to hang with Tampa. The defense will need to stay aggressive, force Mayfield into mistakes, and limit big plays to keep the game within reach.

For Tampa Bay, the offense needs to click early and often. If Mayfield and Evans can connect for some explosive plays and establish a lead, it’ll force the Commanders to play catch-up — a risky game with a rookie quarterback. But if the defense doesn’t step up, even a hot start might not be enough.

Prediction: The Commanders have the momentum, and Daniels’ ability to create plays makes them dangerous. Tampa might be favored, but Washington feels like the team with the higher ceiling right now. Look for the Commanders to pull off a close upset and continue their improbable run.

Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Rams

Dec 22, 2024; Seattle, Washington, USA; Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson (18) catches a pass against the Seattle Seahawks during the second half at Lumen Field.
Dec 22, 2024; Seattle, Washington, USA; Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson (18) catches a pass against the Seattle Seahawks during the second half at Lumen Field. | Credit: Steven Bisig-Imagn Images

Monday, 8:00 PM EST (ESPN)

There’s always something intriguing about a Wild Card matchup where expectations collide with experience. The 14-3 Vikings have defied preseason odds, earning their spot as one of the NFC’s top teams. But now, as the first 14-win team forced to play on the road in the playoffs, the pressure is undeniable. Meanwhile, the Rams, at 10-7, have quietly rallied from a shaky start to position themselves as a dangerous underdog.

Meet the Matchup

Minnesota Vikings

What a rollercoaster of a season it’s been for the Vikings. Sam Darnold, of all people, has emerged as a steady leader, silencing critics who questioned if he could succeed outside of the chaos of his earlier career stops. 

With Darnold at the helm, Minnesota’s offense has been powered by the dynamic duo of Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison, both of whom have been nightmares for opposing secondaries all year.

But there’s pressure here. Darnold’s shaky Week 18 performance against the Lions — where he threw two costly interceptions — can’t be repeated. The Vikings' aggressive defense, which blitzes more than any team in the league, will need to create chaos for Matthew Stafford while keeping the Rams’ big-play potential in check.

Los Angeles Rams

Don’t let the 10-7 record fool you — this Rams team is no pushover. Matthew Stafford’s veteran leadership, paired with the emergence of wide receiver Puka Nacua, has kept the offense humming. Nacua’s ability to find space and make tough catches has been a revelation, giving Stafford a reliable target when all the focus ends up on Cooper Cupp.

The Rams' defense has been a mixed bag. They’re solid against the run but have struggled mightily to defend the pass, which is not ideal when facing Jefferson and Addison. That said, they’ve found ways to generate pressure on quarterbacks, and if they can disrupt Darnold’s rhythm early, they might force him into mistakes.

The Game Plan

Dec 22, 2024; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Cooper Kupp (10) points in the direction of wide receiver Puka Nacua (17) during warm ups before a game against the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium.
Dec 22, 2024; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Cooper Kupp (10) points in the direction of wide receiver Puka Nacua (17) during warm ups before a game against the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium. | Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images

For the Vikings, this game is all about staying composed. Darnold needs to play within himself, avoid forcing throws, and trust Jefferson and Addison to make plays. Defensively, their blitz-heavy approach will be key to rattling Stafford and limiting the Rams’ downfield attack.

For the Rams, it’s about capitalizing on opportunities. Stafford has been here before — this isn’t his first playoff rodeo — and his ability to read defenses and adjust will be crucial. The defense will need to step up in a big way, especially the secondary, which faces a daunting challenge against Minnesota’s receiving corps.

Prediction: The Rams have the experience and the pieces to make this interesting, but the Vikings feel like the more complete team. If Darnold avoids turnovers, Minnesota should come away with a hard-fought win. Still, don’t be surprised if this one comes down to the wire.

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