NFL Week 11 Storylines, Betting Tips, Fantasy Tips, and More
The NFL Week 11 schedule got underway Thursday night in Philadelphia where the Eagles took down the Washington Commanders in an NFC East battle. There’s still plenty more action to go, and we’ve got you covered with the NFL betting tips, fantasy football tips, and NFL Week 11 storylines that you need to know about ahead of another action-packed Sunday and Monday.
Baltimore Ravens (7-3) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (7-2)
1 PM ET | CBS | Ravens -3.5
Key Ravens Storyline
The Ravens will have two of their best players back, as Kyle Hamilton (S) and Isaiah Likely (TE) are expected to return from injuries for this divisional game.
Key Steelers Storyline
This will be the Steelers’ first divisional game this season. It will be interesting to see how they stack up against the tough AFC North.
Key Stat
The Ravens have allowed 22 completed passes of 20 yards or more this season, the worst in the league.
Bold Prediction
Derrick Henry will keep up his streak, scoring a TD in his 11th straight game this season.
Fantasy Tip
George Pickens is in for a big day against a weak Ravens pass defense.
Betting Tip
Betting the over has hit in nine of Baltimore’s games this year, the highest clip in the league.
Prediction
Ravens 27, Steelers 24
Green Bay Packers (6-3) @ Chicago Bears (4-5)
1 PM ET | Fox | Packers -5
Key Packers Storyline
The Packers haven’t gone 0-3 in divisional games since 2005, a streak they’d like to keep alive this week.
Key Bears Storyline
The Bears will have a new offensive coordinator this year in Thomas Brown who replaces the fired Shane Waldron.
Key Stat
Jordan Love has thrown at least one interception in his last seven games.
Bold Prediction
Caleb Williams will have a QBR higher than 50 for the first time since Week 6.
Fantasy Tips
Tucker Craft has scored more than 12 points in PPR leagues in four of his last six games. He’s poised for another good game against the Bears.
Betting Tip
The Packers have beaten the Bears outright in their last 10 games and come into this one as five-point favorites. Take the Packers’ money line.
Prediction
Packers 26, Bears 20
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-8) @ Detroit Lions (8-1)
1 PM ET | CBS | Lions -14
Key Jaguars Storyline
Mac Jones will start again this week while Trevor Lawrence is out with an injury.
Key Lions Storyline
Za’Darius Smith, who the Lions acquired at the trade deadline is expected to make his debut this week.
Key Stat
Jacksonville has lost six one-possession games this year, the most in the NFL.
Bold Prediction
Lions rookie QB Hendon Hooker will play some live snaps in the fourth quarter with the game out of hand.
Fantasy Tip
Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery should both excel against a weak Jaguars rushing defense.
Betting Tip
The O/U is 46.5, and while the Lions’ offense is explosive, the over is a solid bet with a weak Jags’ offense.
Prediction
Lions 34, Jaguars 10
Minnesota Vikings (7-2) @ Tennessee Titans (2-7)
1 PM ET | CBS | Vikings -6
Key Vikings Storyline
Sam Darnold started the season hot but has three turnovers in each of his last two games. The Vikings won both, but Darnold will look to get things figured out this week.
Key Titans Storyline
The Titans need to get the ground game going to have a chance in this one, and Tony Pollard has been solid this season.
Key Stat
Justin Jefferson hasn’t had a receiving touchdown in his last three games.
Bold Prediction
The Titans will sack Darnold three times.
Fantasy Tip
Calvin Ridley is the Titans’ top receiver now. Even if the offense isn’t great, he’s a solid volume play.
Betting Tip
With an O/U of 39.5, this game is a solid option to take the over.
Prediction
Vikings 31, Titans 14
Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) @ Miami Dolphins (3-6)
1 PM ET | CBS | Dolphins -7
Key Raiders Storyline
The Raiders have a new OC this week, as Scott Turner was promoted after multiple offensive coaches got fired ahead of the bye week.
Key Dolphins Storyline
The Dolphins pressured Matt Stafford 15 times in Week 10 and face an atrocious Raiders offensive line this week.
Key Stat
The Raiders haven’t dropped six straight games since 2014 when they lost their first 10.
Bold Prediction
Alexander Mattison will have 50 or more receiving yards in the new-look Raiders’ offense.
Fantasy Tip
De’Von Achane didn’t play well last week against the Rams, but he’s facing a much softer Raiders defense.
Betting Tip
Miami is 0-4 against the spread at home this season, but this is a chance to get things figured out.
Prediction
Dolphins 28, Raiders 14
Los Angeles Rams (4-5) @ New England Patriots (3-7)
1 PM ET | Fox | Rams -5
Key Rams Storyline
Matt Stafford has thrown an interception in his last six games, but he’s facing a Patriots team that’s -4 in turnover differential this season.
Key Patriots Storyline
The Patriots’ defense had its best game of the season last week against Chicago and will look to build on that momentum.
Key Stat
New England hasn’t won consecutive home games since November 2022.
Bold Prediction
Yannick Ngakoue, who the Patriots claimed off waivers last Saturday, will record one sack in his Patriots’ debut.
Fantasy Tip
Kyren Williams is in for a huge day and may end the day with 20+ rushes and 5 or more receptions.
Betting Tip
The Rams are 4-1 against the spread as road favorites in the last two-plus seasons. That trend should continue.
Prediction
Rams 27, Patriots 13
Cleveland Browns (2-7) @ New Orleans Saints (3-7)
1 PM ET | Fox | Saints -1
Key Browns Storyline
The Browns' defense looked uncharacteristically bad in their Week 9 game against the Chargers. After a bye, they will try to get those defensive woes figured out.
Key Saints Storyline
The Saints’ offense looked like itself for the first time since Week 2 against the Falcons. New Orleans will try to keep that trend alive.
Key Stat
A loss would give the Saints their worst start to a season since 2005.
Bold Prediction
Alvin Kamara will score two touchdowns, one rushing and one receiving.
Fantasy Tip
Cedric Tillman looks like Jameis Winston’s favorite target, so he should get plenty of volume.
Betting Tip
New Orleans is 1-5 against the spread in its last six games with its lone win coming last week.
Prediction
Saints 24, Browns 16
Indianapolis Colts (4-6) @ New York Jets (3-7)
1 PM ET | CBS | Jets -4
Key Colts Storyline
The Colts are back to Anthony Richardson at QB in a game of musical chairs between him and Joe Flacco. Richardson hasn’t played since admitting to taking himself out of a game against Houston because he was tired.
Key Jets Storyline
The New York Times reports that the Jets have a 95% chance of making the playoffs if they win out. A loss this week drops those odds considerably. Every week is a must-win.
Key Stat
Davante Adams has only caught 51% of the passes thrown to him since joining the Jets, which is the worst in the NFL during that span.
Bold Prediction
Anthony Richardson will put up 150 passing yards and 50 rushing yards.
Fantasy Tip
Aaron Rodgers is in a position to put up a solid fantasy week against a shaky Colts defense.
Betting Tip
The Colts are 4-0 against the spread when facing teams with losing records in 2024.
Prediction
Jets 21, Colts 17
Atlanta Falcons (6-4) @ Denver Broncos (5-5)
4:05 PM ET | Fox | Broncos -2.5
Key Falcons Storyline
Atlanta is coming off a bad loss to the Saints but is still in a position to win the NFC South. A win here would be huge.
Key Broncos Storyline
Outside of the game against Baltimore, Denver’s defense has played well against top-10 offenses this season. Atlanta is their fourth such matchup this season.
Key Stat
If Kirk Cousins doesn’t throw a TD pass this week, it will be the first time he has gone consecutive games without one in his career.
Bold Prediction
Kyle Pitts will find the end zone to keep Cousins’ streak intact.
Fantasy Tip
Bo Nix is a solid option at QB this week for fantasy owners. He’s put up 16 or more points in five of his last six games and broke 20 points in three of those games.
Betting Tip
Atlanta is 3-1 against the spread on the road this season.
Prediction
Falcons 24, Broncos 22
Seattle Seahawks (4-5) @ San Francisco 49ers (5-4)
4:05 PM ET | Fox | 49ers -6.5
Key Seahawks Storyline
The Seahawks starting center, Conner Williams, unexpectedly retired on Friday. This is a last-minute blow to a shaky unit for Seattle.
Key 49ers Storyline
Christian McCaffery is historically good against Seattle and looks to be back to his old form after making his season debut last week.
Key Stat
Brock Purdy is 8-2 in 10 career NFC West contests.
Bold Prediction
Jaxon Smith-Njigba will post 60 yards and one touchdown.
Fantasy Tip
Ricky Pearsall is a solid option, especially in deeper leagues. He’s developed chemistry with Purdy.
Betting Tip
San Francisco is 5-0 in its last five games against Seattle and has covered the spread in four of those games.
Prediction
49ers 31, Seahawks 23
Kansas City Chiefs (9-0) @ Buffalo Bills (8-2)
4:25 PM ET | CBS | Bills -2
Key Chiefs Storyline
From here on out, every Chiefs game is the next step toward a perfect record. This one’s no different.
Key Bills Storyline
The Bills can all but clinch the AFC East with a win this week.
Key Stat
The Bills have held the Chiefs to 20.8 points per game in four matchups since 2020.
Bold Prediction
Josh Allen will throw for two touchdowns and add another one on the ground.
Fantasy Tip
Kareem Hunt should get plenty of touches as Kansas City, who already leads the league in time of possession, tries to keep Allen and the Bills’ offense off the field.
Betting Tip
The Chiefs are 0-4 against the spread in their last four games against AFC opponents.
Prediction
Bills 23, Chiefs 21
Cincinnati Bengals (4-6) @ Los Angeles Chargers (6-3)
8:20 PM ET | NBC/Peacock | Chargers -1.5
Key Bengals Storyline
The Bengals expect Tee Higgins back this week after the receiver missed five of Cincinnati’s first 10 games.
Key Chargers Storyline
The Chargers' defense is giving up the fewest points per game of any team in the league at 13.1, but they’ll have their work cut out for them against Cincy.
Key Stat
The Bengals currently have a 52% chance of making the postseason, but that number drops to 37% with a loss on Sunday.
Bold Prediction
Quentin Johnson will put up 75 or more receiving yards and a touchdown.
Fantasy Tip
The Bengals have been getting Chase Brown involved as a rusher and a receiver, so he should get plenty of touches on Sunday.
Betting Tip
The O/U for this one is 47.5. While the Chargers’ defense has been great, take the over.
Prediction
Bengals 28, Chargers 24
Houston Texans (6-4) @ Dallas Cowboys (3-6)
Monday, 8:15 PM ET | ESPN/ABC | Texans -7.5
Key Texans Storyline
The Texans will get wideout Nico Collins back this week, which should be a much-needed breath of fresh air for the offense.
Key Cowboys Storyline
How long is the leash on Cooper Rush? We may see Trey Lance who the team acquired from San Francisco.
Key Stat
Houston has forced 15 turnovers since Week 6, which is the most in the league.
Bold Prediction
Trey Lance will take over the Cowboys offense after halftime.
Fantasy Tip
Joe Mixon is one of the most productive backs in the league this season and goes up against a Dallas defense that is among the league’s worst.
Betting Tip
Dallas hasn’t covered the spread in their last four games, a streak that’s likely to continue.
Prediction
Texans 34, Cowboys 13