Hunter Tierney Oct 22, 2026 9 min read

Stroud's Starting to Look Like the Quarterback I Expected

Jan 11, 2025; Houston, Texas, USA; Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud (7) reacts after a play during the second quarter against the Los Angeles Chargers in an AFC wild card game at NRG Stadium.
Troy Taormina-Imagn Images

I’ve been waiting for a C.J. Stroud game like this.

Not because he’s been awful. He hasn’t. He threw for 347 yards against Dallas two weeks ago and has put together plenty of good drives this season. But there’s a big difference between looking good in stretches and making an entire defense feel like they have no answers. On Sunday in London, Stroud did the latter.

The Jaguars came into Wembley at 4–1, having held every opponent to 20 points or less and giving up just 14 points per game. Then Houston put up 34. Stroud finished 24-of-34 for 312 yards and three touchdowns in a 34–31 win, and the Texans needed every one of them. Jacksonville kept answering, but Stroud kept finding ways to respond.

For the first time in a while, I watched him and thought: There he is.

That doesn’t mean everything’s fixed. Houston's still 2–4, and Stroud threw a brutal end-zone interception with the game almost in hand. One Sunday can’t tell us how the next three months will go.

But it can show us what this offense looks like when Stroud gets into a rhythm.

Those Throws Looked Familiar

The first big one went to Nico Collins.

On Houston’s opening touchdown drive, Collins got behind Travis Hunter on a double move. Stroud sold it with a shoulder fake, then dropped the ball 42 yards downfield. Suddenly the Texans were at the Jacksonville 9. A few plays later, Stroud found a wide-open Foster Moreau for a six-yard touchdown.

That’s the version of Stroud I’ve been waiting to see again: eyes up, willing to test a corner, and accurate enough to make the throw worth it.

Jaylin Noel gave him another chance before halftime. Jacksonville had taken a 14–10 lead, and Houston had less than a minute to respond. With pressure closing in, Stroud launched one to Noel for 50 yards. That set up another touchdown to Moreau with eight seconds left in the half. Instead of heading to the locker room wondering how a promising start had gotten away from them, the Texans went in up 17–14.

Then came the opening drive of the second half. Houston stayed on the field for 11 plays, and Stroud finished it with a 13-yard touchdown pass to Noel along the sideline. The Texans had turned the end of one half and the start of the next into two touchdown drives.

That’s the kind of swing they’d been missing.

Noel finished with four catches for a career-high 107 yards and a touchdown. Collins had three catches for 74 yards. Moreau caught only two passes, but both went for touchdowns. Stroud found 10 different receivers, too. The deep throws were the fun part, but the bigger deal was how many different places he could go with the ball. That’s what made Houston so tough to defend.

Harrison Helped, But He Didn’t Create This

Oct 18, 2026; London, ENG; Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud (7) throws the ball during the second half against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Wembley Stadium.
Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

Marvin Harrison Jr. looked like he'd been in this offense for years. He and Stroud played together at Ohio State, and Houston traded for Harrison just days before sending him onto the field in London. Stroud talked about that connection after the game:

It felt like old times. I'm proud of him and happy for him.

Harrison caught three passes for 34 yards, and all three moved the chains. That’s a pretty useful first game for a receiver who barely had time to learn the offense. It also gives you a glimpse of what he might add once he actually knows the playbook.

He can give Stroud another receiver he trusts. Collins is still the top target. Noel's turning into a real threat, especially when Houston can get him into space. Harrison’s going to be able to carve out a lane for himself though.

It’s an interesting bet by Houston, who sent Arizona a 2027 second-round pick and a seventh-rounder for Harrison and a sixth. That’s a real price for a player whose first two-plus NFL seasons haven’t lived up to the expectations that came with being the fourth overall pick.

Still, three first downs after only a few practices? That’s a pretty good place to start.

Stroud Finally Had Help Where He Needed It

Jacksonville came into the game with the NFL’s best run defense, allowing just 63.8 rushing yards per game. Houston was averaging 79.0 yards on the ground and didn't have David Montgomery. On paper, it looked like the kind of matchup where C.J. Stroud would have to carry the offense while the Jaguars ignored the run.

Instead, the Texans ran for 114 yards. Woody Marks had 56, and Jawhar Jordan — called up from the practice squad — added 43 and a 25-yard touchdown run. Liam Coen knows that’s not good enough for Jacksonville:

They ran it better than anybody has on us so far.

The Texans also kept Stroud clean. He wasn’t sacked once. Houston used six or more offensive linemen on 35.6% of their plays, the highest rate for any team in a game this season. That tells you pretty clearly how seriously the Texans took the job of adding some muscle up front.

We’ve seen what happens when they don’t.

Then Came the Pick

This would be a much easier story to write if Stroud’s last meaningful throw had been another touchdown.

With Houston ahead 31–28 in the fourth quarter, the Texans got to second-and-goal at the Jacksonville 4. Stroud threw for the end zone, and Hunter picked him off with 3:53 left. It was Stroud’s first interception of the season, ending a streak of 216 pass attempts without one. It also took away a chance to make the Jaguars chase a two-score game.

And this wasn’t just Hunter making some random great play. He’s talked before about using a fake stumble to bait quarterbacks into throwing his way, and it sure looked like that’s what he did to Stroud. Stroud seemed to realize it as soon as the ball left his hand. Hunter popped out of the “stumble” like he was shot out of a cannon, and got himself right between the ball and the receiver.

Hunter had already caught a touchdown to pull Jacksonville within three. Now he’d taken the ball away on defense, too. Cam Little eventually tied the game with a 60-yard field goal, giving Houston 1:55 to get the lead back.

This is where the win matters most to my read of Stroud. The interception was a bad mistake. He said as much. But on the sideline, according to DeMeco Ryans, Stroud told his coach:

I got you Coach. Don’t worry about it.

Houston’s defense held Jacksonville to three points after the pick. When Stroud got another chance, he helped move the Texans 36 yards in seven plays. A reception by Marks got them into field-goal range, and Ka’imi Fairbairn drilled a 49-yarder as time expired.

That doesn’t erase the interception. It’s just a lot better than pretending it didn’t happen. Stroud played aggressively and made the kind of mistake that can come with that style, but then he stayed composed — and got enough help — to win anyway.

So, Is the Rookie-Year Stroud Back?

Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud (7) pleads his case after a false start during the first quarter against the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tenn., Sunday, Jan. 5, 2025.
Denny Simmons / The Tennessean / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

His rookie season set a pretty unfair standard: 4,108 passing yards, 23 touchdowns, five interceptions, and a 100.8 passer rating in 15 games. He looked ready for everything almost immediately, which meant the next two years could feel disappointing even when he was playing good football.

There were legitimate reasons to be concerned. His rating dropped to 87.0 in 2024, and last season ended with a brutal two-game playoff stretch: an interception and two lost fumbles against Pittsburgh, followed by four interceptions in the loss to New England.

The questions about his decision-making didn’t come out of nowhere, and extension talks were reportedly pushed back until after this season — largely because of the turnovers.

Through six games in 2026, though, Stroud has 1,714 passing yards, nine touchdowns, one interception, and a 100.9 rating. That rating is almost exactly where it was during his rookie season. Houston’s 2–4 record has made it easy to overlook how much better Stroud's played than the team’s start makes it seem.

Sunday was the clearest example yet, partly because it came against a good defense and partly because the Texans actually finished drives. Stroud’s timing with Collins, the throw to Noel under pressure, Harrison’s solid debut, and a running game nobody saw coming all worked together.

Even the late mistake told us something about how he handles a game when it starts trying to slip away.

I’m not ready to say the 2023 Stroud is fully back after one win in London. I am ready to say this was more than a nice box score. Stroud's been building toward a game like this, and against Jacksonville, Houston finally gave his good football a chance to matter.

Now the Texans have to figure out whether they can give him that chance again next week.

The Texans take on the Giants on Sunday at 1:00 p.m. ET on FOX and FOX One.

All stats courtesy of Fantasy Points Data.


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