Hunter Tierney Oct 11, 2026 7 min read

A Little Chaos Goes a Long Way in Sunday’s Late Window

Sep 7, 2025; Seattle, Washington, USA; San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey (23), fullback Kyle Juszczyk (44), quarterback Brock Purdy (13) and defensive end Nick Bosa (97) exit the locker room before the first quarter against the Seattle Seahawks at Lumen Field.
Joe Nicholson-Imagn Images

Two of the three games in the late window this Sunday are division rivalries, so there’s plenty of history here — and plenty at stake. These are the kinds of games that can shape a playoff race long before anyone starts checking the standings in January. Then there’s Detroit’s trip to Arizona, where the Lions’ offense should have plenty of chances to make plays, but that defense has something to prove.

But if we're being honest, this is one of those rare Sundays where there's a very clear 'main screen' game, and then having RedZone on your phone should be enough to keep up with the others.

Bears-Packers was originally supposed to be part of this window. It’s one of football’s oldest rivalries, and most people expected it to have a real impact on the NFC playoff picture. But with Green Bay looking like one of the league’s worst teams and Chicago bouncing between their second and third-string quarterbacks, the game was moved to the early window. It’ll now kick off at 1 p.m. ET on FOX instead.

San Francisco 49ers At Seattle Seahawks

Fox and Fox One

This is the best game in the window, and it’s not particularly close.

San Francisco's 4-0. Seattle's 3-1. The winner leaves Sunday in first place in the NFC West, with a head-to-head win already in their pocket.

It’s also a rematch San Francisco's had circled for months. Seattle held the 49ers without a touchdown twice last January, beating them 13-3 in Week 18 before humiliating them 41-6 in the divisional round. The Seahawks used those wins as part of their run to the Super Bowl. The 49ers have spent the first month of this season looking like they took the whole thing personally.

Kyle Shanahan’s offense has changed the math. Brock Purdy has nine touchdown passes to just one interception, and San Francisco’s offensive line has somehow gone four straight games without allowing a sack. Even Denver’s pass rush couldn’t get Purdy down last week.

Now comes Mike Macdonald’s defense, which isn’t all that interested in winning a normal four-man pass-rush contest. (Although they can do that too.) Seattle wants to muddy the picture before the snap, move defenders late, and make quarterbacks hesitate just long enough for pressure to show up from somewhere unexpected.

The familiarity makes that chess match even more fun. Seattle offensive coordinator Brian Fleury spent years on Shanahan’s staff in San Francisco, including as the team’s run-game coordinator. Both offenses live in the same general world of motion, play action, and wide-zone concepts. Nobody’s introducing a brand-new language here.

The matchup that could decide it is San Francisco’s protection against Seattle’s disguise package. The Seahawks forced four turnovers in last week’s 30-23 win over the Chargers and are now 15-0 under Macdonald when they win the turnover battle. The 49ers have been much cleaner with the ball and much better at keeping Purdy comfortable.

Something has to give.

Denver Broncos At Los Angeles Chargers

Oct 26, 2025; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Broncos cornerback Pat Surtain II (2) leaves the field after an injury in the first quarter against the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High.
Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images

CBS and Paramount+

This might be the ugliest game of the four. But both these teams are desperate.

Denver’s 2-2 and already chasing the 4-0 Chiefs and 3-1 Raiders. Los Angeles is 0-4, and whole “it’s still early” thing is starting to sound a little less comforting every time somebody says it.

The Chargers have so much talent that it's impossible not to look at them as a disappointment. Their defense ranks 11th in EPA per play, Tuli Tuipulotu and Khalil Mack are still making life miserable off the edge, and Justin Herbert showed some real spark in the second half of last week’s loss in Seattle.

They also turned the ball over four times.

Herbert finished that game 14-of-17 for 163 yards and a touchdown after halftime, but he was a big part of them digging the 27-6 hole they were in. Then the offensive line started falling apart around him, with Joe Alt, Rashawn Slater, and Trevor Penning all leaving with injuries.

That puts Denver’s pass rush right in the spotlight. The Broncos haven’t found much offensive rhythm of their own — particularly in the first half, where they're averaging just 3.3 points — but their defense has picked off four passes through four games. If Denver can get after a patched-together line without blitzing on every other snap, Herbert could spend another afternoon trying to pull off a rescue mission.

Detroit Lions At Arizona Cardinals

Fox and Fox One

Detroit would love to turn this into a track meet. Arizona’s best bet is to make sure that doesn't happen — they just don't have the horses to keep up.

The Lions are averaging 29.8 points and 389.3 yards per game. Jared Goff has thrown for 1,214 yards, nine touchdowns, and no interceptions. Then there's Jahmyr Gibbs, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Sam LaPorta, and Jameson Williams, who all give Detroit a way to hurt you pretty much anywhere on the field.

The issue is what happens when Detroit doesn’t have the ball. The Lions have given up at least 30 points in three of four games and came into last week ranked 31st in third-down defense. Carolina piled up 445 yards in a 32-26 win, which led Dan Campbell to say “everything is on the table” as Detroit looks for some kind of defensive consistency.

Arizona will try to take advantage with long drives and a physical running game. The Cardinals rank fifth in time of possession, and Jeremiyah Love and Tyler Allgeier combined for 123 rushing yards against the Giants.

But this matchup might’ve shifted on Arizona’s last drive in New York. Left tackle Paris Johnson Jr. tore his biceps and is out for the season. Rookie seventh-round pick Jayden Williams is expected to take over, which means he’ll be thrown right into the fire against a Detroit front that already has 15 sacks.

That’s a rough first assignment. If Aidan Hutchinson and the Lions’ pass rush can force Jacoby Brissett into obvious passing situations, Detroit can control the game instead of letting Arizona slow everything down.

For the 2-2 Lions, this is the kind of game a team with real playoff expectations needs to win. For the 1-3 Cardinals, it’s a chance to show that their better offensive stretches can turn into something more than a few encouraging moments in another loss.

All stats courtesy of Fantasy Points Data.


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